£83.20 on baghdatis to beat granollers at 1.4
Baggy has shown a much improved level on the clay this yaer, proving to be able and quite consistent over the last weeks. He is 7-3 for his last 10 matches with his five defeats in clay in total coming against cilic, ferrer, gulbis, montanes and mayer. Ferrer and montanes are consistent dirtballers, while the other three are aggressive attacking players who baggy struggles against as a match up as the pace of their groundstrokes troubles his poor movement. This is not a problem he will face with granollers. Even though granollers is spanish he is not a natural clay courter imo, highlighted by his results at rg - beat in qualies 07, 2nd rd 08 and 1st rd 09. He is inexperienced at this level shown by 6-11 at grand slams outside qs, never making it past r2 anywhere. Baggy should win this given his experience, despite his clay shortcomings, as granollers is not a player who he matches up poorly to. Baggy to get the job done.
Potential Profit £33.20
Was thinking isner but a little short...will sleep on it!
Bank £1076 following roddick's struggle and three other comfortable wins....yeh ok prices were very short!
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