Tuesday 11 May 2010

Crazy Tuesday

To hell with it. Even though this is a night game i think the courts have been very fast for clay and there is no great sign of wind.

£15.40 on Ivo at 6 and £50 lay of verdy straight sets at 1.6 costing £30.

As mentioned earlier this game is all about verdy. If he approaches it properly and plays well he should win. He has been great on the dirt and if his form continues he should have enough. However I find verdy a very frustrating player as any time before he has seemed like stepping it up, there was a disappointment around the corner. Karlo's clay game is not as woeful as people think and he is a respectable 26-24 in last 50. Further this is one of the best clay courts for him. If karlo can serve well, and the conditions are in his favour, and reel off service holds, he will make verdy nervous and frustrated and hopefully can nick a tie break or two. The pressure is all on verdy and this may get to him as no one expects karlo to win today. To beat karlo you need patience and nerves, not verdy's main weapons. Further, karlo has a match under his belt to adjust to the surface and leads the h2h 3-1 (none on clay though) and all in all is worth a shot at the prices.

Potential profit £77.20 and £50 for the Lay

Bank lies at £1160

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