I'm back. Decent day with the most likely outcomes in my bets coming true. Only saw a little of monfils match and missed the other two. If anyone would like to give their opinions on how the games went are more than welcome. All games seemed relatively straight forward with fed's and ferrer's result more so. Missed the tennis today but with such short and long prices unlikely i would have been involved. One bet for the day, which will be unpopular.
£38.60 on muzza to beat ferrer at 2.48
Murray's game has looked to be getting back to where it should be. He has been striking the ball well better getting more weight and depth on the ball which will be imperative against ferrer's baseline game.
I watched his match vs ferrer a few of weeks ago and thought he was well in the match. His attitude was quite poor, however, and he didn't seem to believe and he lost many of the game changing points through poor tactics. He is hitting better now and the belief seems to be slowly coming back. Further the conditions are more in his favour this time with the courts faster and the altitude factor.
Ferrer has looked tired at times this tourament, against baggy mainly, (although he seemed to give cilic a decent beating...doh). Like verdy ( who i had also predicted would struggle this tourni) he has had a tough schedule and i think this could come to surface today. I will take a fresher murray to take him out at odds against. It will not be easy against a wily ferrer playing in his country on the dirt but i believe he has a good chance and is worth a little interest.
Potential Profit £57.10
Bank now stands at £1180.
Just to note for all the number crunchers, since i began on Sunday (the day before the blog started) and before today, i have placed 15 bets (counting karlo and 2-0 lay as seperate bets, counting the lay as 2.68 back for excel purposes). Out of the 15 bets, five have been odds against and ten odds on. Amazingly all odds on have won and all the odds against were beaten (hopefully the the first win to come tonight). The av price for the 15 has been 2.142 at an av stake of £72.30. The highest odd is 6 and lowest has been 1.23. The current proft is at £218.60, with a total cost of £1085.20 at a strike rate of 20.14375, which in all probabilty will only fall.
Think this is all accurate and any comments very welcome.
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Good luck, I see this time you kept the stakes reasonable.In my view, if Ferrer plays at the level that he played yesterday, he will have enough to beat Murray again, who in all honesty is yet to face a solid opponent here. It's just very tough to oppose Ferrer this time of year, especially playin in Spain. That being said,I can certainly see this being a close match.
ReplyDeleteMurray vs Gulbis would have been a good match to see watch here, and see where Murray really stands.
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