First and foremost i must say despite only having 2 followers and not recieving any comments the footfall for the site has been great with 322 pages read since i put up the counter yesterday. This has been a great response. Futher to the eight who ansered the poll i thank you and welcome anyone else to give their opinion positive or negative. Anyone to join as a follower or leave a comment greatly appreciated.
£70 on Roddick to beat Lopez at 1.67
I put four bets on waiting to be matched at big prices before I went to bed and this was the only one to get matched (although only some of it was and the rest was matched after i woke this morning as his price has seen a rise from the 1.6 it was this morning). First and foremost it is quite a risk taking roddick with no clay court action this year. At least he had doubles action to get used to the courts.
These are clay courts that both will enjoy due to the quick nature and the altitude and the fact that the game is played right in the middle of the day will only increase the pace. Having backed lopez to beat kubot, I was not overly impressed with him and believed the main reason for his win was the woeful performance from the pole who gifted him the breaks (lopez ridiculously giving two back in the second).
He looked uninsterested at times and if he performs in the same way he will struggle badly to break a-rod today. This year we have seen a more passive but more consistent roddick (with the exception vs nadal) and this consistency should help him defeat lopez today whose one handed bh was its useless self the other day, although the slice looked quite effective when used.
Roddick will be looking for some RG prep and so should be quite motivated as he would prefer a few games under his belt. He ran fed (eventual winner too) very close here last year, showing for a clay court that it is favourable for him. It is a game that we should see few breaks but i fancy roddick to stay cool under pressure and play the big points better, which will be vital. The same can't be said of lopez. Further, we could see tie-breaks today and roddick has a great record there.
He holds a 6-0 h2h and even if none have been on clay i believe the american is the bet at current prices. Only if we see the super lopez (which only appears a couple of times every year) can i see a focused and consistent roddick losing.
Potential profit £46.90
Bank now lies at £1090
I have looked at others including melzer, gulbis, bellucci, tsonga and monfils but i believe all to be a little shorter atm than i would back. Melzer was over 1.5 this morning which i would have been on but missed the price. Good luck to all and i should be back with further selections.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment