£30 on Federer to beat Nadal at 3.5
Normally I wouldn't even think about betting on Fed to beat Rafa on clay but the circumstances here are totally different as they were last year when fed got the job done. Firstly the court conditions are in firmly in Fed's favour, more so than any other clay court with the altitude making the ball fly in the air. Further the game will be played in the middle of the day which will only highten the speed of the ball through the air. This should make fed's service games much easier to rattle through as was the case for most of today and the last two sets yesterday.
We have seen at times this week that nadal is beatable on these pacier clay courts, if the right calibre of player with good tactics faces him, which has not really happened yet (although almagro did for a set). He was pushed hard today by almagro,losing the first set in which he dropped his serve 3 times. He will have to be much better on serve vs fed as the goat will be very hard to break with the conditions. I believe if fed must beat nadal tomorrow if he is to beat him in RG as these are courts much more in his favour. At the price i'll give it a go. Be good and the best of luck to anyone following my blog.
Potential Profit £75
New Bank £1150
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Wouldnt' put too much weight on the conditions, let's not forget this IS clay, and even if it wasn't clay, Nadal has beaten Federer under many different conditions, he won't mind if the court is a bit quicker. Can't see Nadal winning here, sorry.
ReplyDeleteCan't see Nadal winning here, sorry.
ReplyDeleteI assume this was supposed to say fed? Yes, i guess this is the only clay court in the world i would back fed to beat nadal on. I just have had a feeling as fed has been rolling through the rounds that he is taking this very seriously and wants to put down a marker.
We seen yesterday that nadal is a little vulnerable. Further if fed can't beat him here he has very little chance at rg where the conditions will be more in rafa's favour.
In saying this i get your point. At the end of the day no matter the conditions this is clay, nadal's surface who has a 13-7 h2h and like 7-2 on clay. But at the price worth a go imo. Hopefully zeba can make it a free watch for me.
No,I was trying to say "losing" instead of "winning" :)
ReplyDeleteThought so. Well the man is the best clay courter of this generation comfortably, if not the best ever. Just remember hm complain about the bounce last year and given what i have seen at this touni this year i believe it is a good chance for fed. Good luck to you if you bet on nadal as he is a worthy fav but not sure by such a distance given the conditions.
ReplyDeleteYeah I think I'm gonna have a go on Nadal in play when I see him get into the match.
ReplyDeleteAT the moment Federer is making far too many unforced errors for my linking.