Wednesday's Starter

£99.80 on bellucci to beat mayer at 1.41

This is a bet i tried to talk myself out of this morning as mayer is a player of potential that i rate and bellucci threw in a stinker last week vs monaco and his motivation here could be questionable. For a start bellucci was coming off a davis cup flight from brazil the weekend before and the jetlag possibly caught up with him. Further i think a match up with pace, such as vs mayer, is more in bellucci's favour than the match up vs monaco, a good defender where bellucci will have to create his own pace.

Also, bellucci has had a consistent clay court season in europe after a great sa swing. He is 6-4, only losing to players it is acceptable to lose to, novak, ferrer, monaco and kohli (3rd set tb). Despite mayer being a south american, i believe he is more comfortable on faster hard courts, making his power game more effective. Further, he comes into the match with some question marks. He withdrew from doubles due to an elbow injury in belgrade before retiring against wawa due to shoulder and elbow injuries in madrid. He only scrapped past guez in the last round and will seriously have to up his game to beat bellucci

Mayer also seems to have his struggles against left handers. He is 3-7 for his last ten, beating del bonnis, out of form zverev and berrer at a challenger, losing to dabul, zverev and ball among other. His career record lies at 17-18 highlighting his struggles. Further, bellucci holds a 2-1 h2h winning the most recent two. He was in control of the most recent encounter on clay before losing his concentration and inexplicably losing the second before winning the third 6-1. I watched the match and thought bellucci matched up quite well vs mayer and if he is motivated, keeps his concentration and plays to a decent level, he should beat mayer, who struggled past guez in r1. Bellucci has won his last 16 between 1.2 and 1.5, highlighting his consistency when favoured recently.

Potential Profit £40.90

Bank now 1090