Sunday, 23 May 2010

Experience Counts

There we go he first week of the french open gs and i am back to original bank of £1000. Silly week last week getting so involved week before a major but at least it wasn't fatal. Hopefully for more successful weeks in the future.

£35 on Massu to beat Fognini at 2.28


Fognini is on simply woeful form. He as been very out of sorts, losing eight of last 9, against massu who rarely surfaces to play the bigger events now, mainly making his money through challenger events. Fognini is still very inexperienced over 5 sets, having won only two matches at gs level, with one coming through retirement. Massu has shown in DC affairs that he is capable of raising his game and he has usually shown a little form at rg, losing in the first round twice out of 8 times. With a match up so bereft of any confidence or form, i'll take the experience with a bit of a track record at odds against.

Potential Profit £44.10


£40 on Chuidinelli to beat devvarman at 2.08

Another poor game with two players on their lesser favourite surfaces. In this instance i am going against the man who is through the playoffs. I believe that while chui has a woeful clay record, winning only 38% of matches on the stuff, i believe he has shown a bit of form lately in beating fognini and taking a set from monfils. However, it must be remembered that devvarman only has a 54% record (14-12) with most his wins coming in qualies which chuid's ranking has frequently got him to miss. I believe chuidinelli has the exdperience which can never be underestimated at a gs and i will take him at odds against to beat the admittedly on form qualifier.

Potential Profit £43.20

There we have it, two dodgy selections. Had considered ggl and de bakker but for value and injury questions respectively quickly moved on. I think that should be me for the day on a tough enough day for punting. Wouldn't be too surprised to see either match go 5 sets.

Bank now stands at £925

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