£165 on Murray to beat chela at 1.23

This is in no reaction to having a bad day. The more i look into this match the more i think how can chela possibly beat murray. Chela has been a fading force in the past few years and though he mainly only plays on the dirt i don't think he possesses the game or the hunger to beat a top 20 player any more, never mind a top 5 player. I watched him a few weeks back playing monaco and even from breaks up he never looked likely to win even a set.

Murray has had a woeful time since the aus open, which has obviously affected him. However, he will be looking to have some form before the french open and the extra pace at madrid will suit him.With hanescu in wait murray is likely to fancy his chances of having a decent run and getting back to winning games again and giving himself another go in all likelihood at david ferrer. I rarely bet under 1.3 but this is an exception as i can only see one winner.

Look at the RG meeting (and he won the three before so comfortably albiet not on clay but before he was a top 20 player back back in 06/7!) and you get the idea what i'm saying. I don't think chela has the weapons to take murray out.

Potential profit £37.90