Monday, 10 May 2010

Lopez match is due soon. Mayer and monfils' matches on court now. To update the blog I actually ended up with more on lopez than earlier stated.

95.6 on Lopez at 1.5 ( I see he's now trading above 1.5 and he's been negative in most books today. Hopefully talk of his personal life won't come into this).

Potential Profit £47.80

The two bets I have already done are Gulbis and bellucci. Two young pretenders who have proved quite profitable over the last few weeks.

£80 on Gulbis at 1.6

The altitude should firstly be beneficial to his power game. He has shown over the past few weeks that when he wants to he has a game worthy of at top 10 material and on current form is one of the few players if on form that can trouble nadal. That's for a different day. He in albert montanes faces a good dirt baller. This can be seen in his recent victory in Estoril beating fed along the way. He is a player who usually follows up a good week with a lull in his next games. This can be seen when he got to qtrs in monte carlo, defeated in 3 by verdy, he followed it up with defeats against lorenzi and chardy. Further, when he won Budabest last year he was beat next game out vs mayer (granted there was a break but still).

In gulbis he faces a young man finally living up to his talent. Ever since the aus open he has been on fire, only getting beat by players it is acceptable to get beat by, mainly in the top 20. He is coming off a rest after a great rome tourni where he got to semis and i believe even if both were in good condition ernie would be a good shot at 1.6 as i don't see montanes having the weapons to beat gulbis. Essentially the game is on the gulbis racket. If he has a ue day without many winners he will find it tough or if he lets monty dictate and many rallies it will be a struggle. Essentially if gulis wants it, and plays well he should have more than enough for a tired monty.

Potential profit £48 before commission.


110 on Bellucci to beat Riba at 1.37

I believe bellucci has shown what a good player he is in recent weeks. He has only been beaten by ferrer, djoker and kohli (in 3rd tb) in last three tournies. The altitude will not worsen his game as he possesses a big awkard leftie serve. His top spin fhs should put riba well behind the baseline out of his comfort zone and force him into errors. Further Riba is a player mainly in challengers and against a player as consistent as bellucci has been at beating players he should it should be a step too far. Big step up for him to atp 1000's.

Potential Profit £39.60


Nothing inspiring yet but hope to get off to a nice solid start. Good luck to anyone reading.

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