£50 on Fish to win at av odds of 1.81
Fish has proved by some of his results in the past that he is a decent player on the dirt. He pushed jurgen melzer hard a couple of weeks ago in a atch up that suited melzer. Fish's main problem when playing on clay is his movement. This is grealy exposed by those playing a natural clay court game. He will not face this today in berrer, whose game is more suited to the faster hard courts or indoor hard. His victory of a poorly conditioned monaco aside he is not a player with much pedigree on dirt, and i rate fish's game higher on the clay. This could be another close one, with fish's extra experience of the bigger game carrying him through.
Potential Profit £40.50
£100 on isner at 1.32
This is a game in which both players would prefer to be playing on faster surfaces. Isner has proved in recent weeks that he can win games on clay, proving that his experience of pushing joker to five sets on the dirt was not a fluke. Golubev is a player who i believe is happiest on indoor hard or fast hard courts. He is still inexperienced on dirt and i believe isner will prove he only pulled out of dusseldorf as precaution and will have too much for an inexperienced golubev.
Potential Profit £32
£60 on bellucci at 1.57
Bellucci is a player, who depite letting me down lately, that i rate highly. He is a player for all surfaces but still has the most experience on clay courts. If he can get llodra's serve back, as he did isner a number of weeks back, into play on regular occassions today he will have more than enough to win the match. To win today llodra will have to keep the rallies short as it is hard to see him win many of the longer ones. I believe bellucci's top spin forehand will cause llodra's bh many problems as the extra bounce will force llodra to hit the ball from further back in the court, forcing more errors. I believe bellucci will be glad of the time off following his defeat last week and the extra time to prepare will help him navigate the tough task of defeating the home dog. Despite this being a home venue of llodra's he has never shinned here, showing that despite having the support his game is more for the faster surfaces, due to his big serve and net rushing game, which he will hopefully have time to prepare for in the coming weeks with defeat here.
Potential Profit £34.20
Was thinking of a few others but think i will keep my powder dry. I have backed ferrero and roddick (for tomorrow) early, as i did fish as i believe their price may drop. I will do write ups tomorrow. Might be back later with additional selections. Wish me luck.
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