Wednesday 30 June 2010

Wednesday's Bets

£25 on Lu +5.5 Games vs Djokovic at 2.16
Although i doubt lu has the mentality to beat djoker after beating roddick, i think he has a good chance today. He showed great mental strength and patience to beat roddick, waiting his time before breaking him in the final game of the match for the first time. Lu served great against roddick, holding his serev the whole match after being broken once in the first set. I believe joker will nget more returns into play as roddicks returning was shocking. Despite this i fancy lu to keep it tight with his serve firing and i will take him with the handicap.
Potential Profit £30
Also £8 on lu at 6 to win £40

£30 on berdych +5.5 at 1.84
Berdych knows to do well in this match he must serve big as it will be hard to break the federer serve. Berdych has proved this year his greater resolve and beat fed in a tight game so there is less of a sense of aura playing fed as that game went to the wire and berdy came through. He will look to stay with fed and i will take him with the games as i believe he has a good chance today.
Potential Profit £25.20

£35 on tie break in berdych game at 1.6
Similar to above berdych knows he must serve huge to win this match. He has had tbs in 3 of his four wimb games so i think there is a little value here. Playing big servers at wimb fed is usually content enough with tbs and has shown a great winning record in them over past years-look to his victories over roddick and ivo karlovic last year and vs soderling also. Further, there has been a tb the last 5 times they have played with 7 in total in those games.
Potential Profit £21
£12 on berdych at 5 to win £48 also

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