Tuesday 8 June 2010

Wednesday's Bets

£130 on Hewitt at 1.4
This is my big bet for tomorrow like mahut, but im not as confident as i was on that, given de bakker's great year as is evident with the reduced stake.
Here, we have a fading great against a player with much potential. However, the thing is hewitt loves this period of the year. He has a 81% career record on grass, which shows his strength on the stuff. Further since the grass season in 06 at queens which he won, only baggy, tsonga, roddick, novak and federer have beat him on grass, showing that it takes the top players to beat him (although tsonga defeat in 2 tbs came before he broke through).
De bakker struggles on faster surfaces as he is rushed more on his strokes as he prefers more time on his longer groundstrokes. Further he has only played 8 games on grass(4-4) with his non qf wins coming vs phau, who is especially awful on grass, at ned last year and bopanna here in rd1. This highlights his inexperience on the surface.
Hewitt strugles against power games on quicker surfaces but although de bakker possesses a decent serve, he does not have the capacity to blast him off court so there is nothing in the match up for him to fear. I will give hewitt the go as it should take a player more advanced to take the aussie out.
Potential Profit £48

£48 on mefferet at 2.52
I was impressed with the german the other day. His huge serve made up fo some glaring deficincies elsewhere. He served out many times from 0-30, never dropping his serve once. Lacko is still very inexperienced and i believe this may tell tomorrow as he will need patience and mental resolve with so few chances on serve. The german has had his greatest career result and has great momentum and in front of his home fans with his serve on this surface i will give him a great chance. I don't believe lacko's game matches great against big servers and this is a tough test for him and i believe his lack of know how may prove his downfall
Potential Profit £72.96

Will have another look in the morning as not all prices are upyet. Had considered llodra but at 1.4 on betfair against someone with a record like levine's on grass i quickly passed.

No comments:

Post a Comment