Thursday 6 January 2011

Thursday's Upsets

£25 on karlovic to beat davydenko at 3.6
Despite the 5-1 h2h in davy's favour i believe ivo has a great chance in this one. He pushed davy very had here last year (where davy went on to win the title beating both fed and nadal), losing in two close tbs (7-4 and 9-7). He was in much better form last year and i believe this is a tough match-up for davy when he is not in form as it is hard for him to find rythm, and he can lose focus easier.
Potential Profit £65

£25 on Gulbis at 4 to beat nadal
Despite Nadal leading the h2h 3-0, he has dropped a set in each of those three matches. The most recent was in Rome where Nadal was flying and Gulbis proved to be the only player to take a set off nadal during that euro swing. Nadal comes into this game, however, following a tough three setter aginst lacko, where he was surprisingly bagelled in the second. Talk of a virus has went someway to explain the abject performance. Whatever the issue, he is clearly not in the best of shape to face ernests, who always seems to lift his game against the best. This is a huge game for Gulbis who at the age of 22, needs to really push on in his career. I expect this to be tight and will take gulbis at a generous price given the circumstances.
Potential Profit £75

Bank now lies at £850

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